POPULATION BIOLOGY OF INFECTIOUS-DISEASES .1.

被引:2140
作者
ANDERSON, RM
MAY, RM
机构
[1] UNIV LONDON, IMPERIAL COLL SCI & TECHNOL, BLACKETT LAB, CTR ENVIRONM TECHNOL, LONDON SW7 2BZ, ENGLAND
[2] PRINCETON UNIV, DEPT BIOL, PRINCETON, NJ 08544 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1038/280361a0
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
If the host population is taken to be a dynamic variable (rather than constant, as conventionally assumed), a wider understanding of the population biology of infectious diseases emerges. In this first part of a two-part article, mathematical models are developed, shown to fit data from laboratory experiments, and used to explore the evolutionary relations among transmission parameters. In the second part of the article, to be published in next week's issue, the models are extended to include indirectly transmitted infections, and the general implications for infectious diseases are considered. © 1979 Nature Publishing Group.
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页码:361 / 367
页数:7
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