ASSESSMENT OF CRITICAL LOADS AND THEIR EXCEEDANCE ON EUROPEAN FORESTS USING A ONE-LAYER STEADY-STATE MODEL

Critical roads for N, S and total acidity, and amounts by which they are exceeded by present atmospheric loads, were derived for coniferous and deciduous forests in Europe using the one-layer steady-state model START. Results indicated that present acid loads exceed critical values in approximately 45% of the forested area i.e. 52% of all coniferous forests and 33% of all deciduous forests. The area exceeding critical loads was nearly equal for N (50%) and S (52%). However, the maximum exceedances were much higher for S (up to 12000 mol(c) ha(-1) yr(-1) in Czechoslovakia, Poland and Germany) than for N (up to 3500 mol(c) ha(-1) yr(-1) in the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany). Furthermore, the critical N loads derived refer to the risk of increased vegetation changes. Higher values, i.e. lower exceedances, were found for N when it was related to an increased risk in forest vitality decrease. The uncertainty in the area exceeding critical loads was estimated to be about +/- 50% of the given value. This is mainly due to uncertainties-in the chemical criteria that have been used. However, despite the uncertainties involved it is clear that large exceedances in critical N and S loads occur in Western and Central Europe. This coincides with the area where a decrease in forest vitality has been reported.