QUANTIFYING GLOBAL WARMING FROM THE RETREAT OF GLACIERS

被引:313
作者
OERLEMANS, J
机构
[1] Inst. for Mar. and Atmosph. Research, Utrecht University, 3584 CC Utrecht
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.264.5156.243
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Records of glacier fluctuations compiled by the World Glacier Monitoring Service can be used to derive an independent estimate of global warming during the last 100 years. Records of different glaciers are made comparable by a two-step scaling procedure: one allowing for differences in glacier geometry, the other for differences in climate sensitivity. The retreat of glaciers during the last 100 years appears to be coherent over the globe. On the basis of modeling of the climate sensitivity of glaciers, the observed glacier retreat can be explained by a linear warming trend of 0.66 kelvin per century.
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页码:243 / 245
页数:3
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