COMPUTER-AIDED-DESIGN ENGINEERING OF BEARING SYSTEMS USING THE DEMPSTER-SHAFER THEORY

Research in computer-aided design/engineering (CAD/E) has focused on enhancing the capability of computer systems in a design environment, and this work has continued in this trend by illustrating the use of the Dempster-Shafer theory to expand the computer's role in a CAD/E environment. An expert system was created using Dempster-Shafer methods that effectively modeled the professional judgment of a skilled tribologist in the selection of rolling element bearings. A qualitative and symbolic approach was used, but access to simple quantitative models was provided to the expert system shell. Although there has been significant discussion in the literature regarding modification/improvement of the Dempster-Shafer theory, Shafer's theories were found adequate in all respects for replicating the expert's judgment. However, an understanding of the basic theory is required for interpreting the results.