UNCERTAINTIES IN CARBON-DIOXIDE RADIATIVE FORCING IN ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODELS

被引:72
作者
CESS, RD
ZHANG, MH
POTTER, GL
BARKER, HW
COLMAN, RA
DAZLICH, DA
DELGENIO, AD
ESCH, M
FRASER, JR
GALIN, V
GATES, WL
HACK, JJ
INGRAM, WJ
KIEHL, JT
LACIS, AA
LETREUT, H
LI, ZX
LIANG, XZ
MAHFOUF, JF
MCAVANEY, BJ
MELESHKO, VP
MORCRETTE, JJ
RANDALL, DA
ROECKNER, E
ROYER, JF
SOKOLOV, AP
SPORYSHEV, PV
TAYLOR, KE
WANG, WC
WETHERALD, RT
机构
[1] LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATL LAB,LIVERMORE,CA 94550
[2] CANADIAN CLIMATE CTR,DOWNSVIEW M3H 5T4,ON,CANADA
[3] BUR METEOROL RES CTR,MELBOURNE,VIC 3001,AUSTRALIA
[4] COLORADO STATE UNIV,FT COLLINS,CO 80523
[5] NASA,GODDARD INST SPACE STUDIES,NEW YORK,NY 10025
[6] MAX PLANCK INST METEOROL,W-2000 HAMBURG 13,GERMANY
[7] RUSSIAN ACAD SCI,DEPT NUMER MATH,MOSCOW 117334,RUSSIA
[8] NATL CTR ATMOSPHER RES,BOULDER,CO 80307
[9] METEOROL OFF,HADLEY CTR CLIMATE PREDICT & RES,BRACKNELL RG12 2SY,BERKS,ENGLAND
[10] LAB METEOROL DYNAM,F-75231 PARIS 05,FRANCE
[11] SUNY ALBANY,ATMOSPHER SCI RES CTR,ALBANY,NY 12205
[12] CTR NATL RECH METEOROL,DIRECT METEOROL NATL,F-31057 TOULOUSE,FRANCE
[13] VOEIKOV MAIN GEOPHYS OBSERV,ST PETERSBURG 194018,RUSSIA
[14] EUROPEAN CTR MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS,READING RG2 9AX,BERKS,ENGLAND
[15] PRINCETON UNIV,NOAA,GEOPHYS FLUID DYNAM LAB,PRINCETON,NJ 08544
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.262.5137.1252
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Global warming, caused by an increase in the concentrations of greenhouse gases, is the direct result of greenhouse gas-induced radiative forcing. When a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide is considered, this forcing differed substantially among 15 atmospheric general circulation models. Although there are several potential causes, the largest contributor was the carbon dioxide radiation parameterizations of the models.
引用
收藏
页码:1252 / 1255
页数:4
相关论文
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