FRACTAL ANALYSIS OF CLIMATIC DATA - MEAN ANNUAL TEMPERATURE RECORDS IN HUNGARY

被引:27
作者
BODRI, L
机构
[1] Geophysical Research Group, Hungarian Academy of Science, Eötvös University, Budapest
关键词
D O I
10.1007/BF00866288
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Rescaled range analysis of the annual mean surface air temperatures at 7 meteorological stations in Hungary for the period of 1901-1991 indicates that the considered temperatures are fractals with a mean fractal dimension of 1.23 +/- 0.01. This value compares favourably with the fractal dimensions of other climatic records, both on small time scale of 10-100 years and for time spans 10(3)-10(6) years. Possibly such fractal dimensions are characteristic of climate change over the whole spectral range of 10(3) to 10(6) years. If this assumption becomes confirmed through analysis of a wider set of climatic records, long-range climatic prediction (in statistical sense) on different time scales will appear feasible.
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页码:53 / 57
页数:5
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