DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY AND FUZZINESS IN DEVELOPMENT-PLANNING - A SIMULATION OF HIGH-TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRIAL-LOCATION DECISION-MAKING BY THE ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS

A planning simulation approach sensitive to the behavioral and contextual environment of industrial location decisionmaking is developed. Industrial location decisionmaking is approximated with a multidimensional simulation of (intraurban) locational choice. The likelihood of the location of high-technology firms in an "incubator' and/or a "research park' environment is derived by using Saaty's analytic hierarchy process. The variance in the degree of uncertainty which bears upon the multiple dimensions of the contemporary problem of deciding upon industrial location is shown explicitly. -from Author