CLIMATE-CHANGE AND VECTOR-BORNE DISEASES - A GLOBAL MODELING PERSPECTIVE

被引：127

作者：

MARTENS, WJM

JETTEN, TH

ROTMANS, J

NIESSEN, LW

机构：

[1] UNIV LIMBURG, DEPT MATH, 6200 MD MAASTRICHT, NETHERLANDS

[2] AGR UNIV WAGENINGEN, DEPT ENTOMOL, 6700 EH WAGENINGEN, NETHERLANDS

来源：

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS | 1995年 / 5卷 / 03期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0959-3780(95)00051-O

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

GCM-based scenarios of anthropogenic global climate change are used for the assessment of potential changes in areas vulnerable to malaria and schistosomiasis transmission. The study shows that the transmission potential of both vector-borne diseases is very sensitive to climate changes on the periphery of the present endemic areas and at higher altitudes within these areas. The health impact will be most pronounced in populations living in the less economically developed temperate areas in which endemicity is low or absent.

引用

页码：195 / 209

页数：15

共 40 条

[1]

ANDERSON R M, 1991

[2] HELMINTH INFECTIONS OF HUMANS - MATHEMATICAL-MODELS, POPULATION-DYNAMICS, AND CONTROL [J].