ABSENCE OF 1/f SPECTRA IN DOW JONES DAILY AVERAGE

被引:35
作者
Li, Wentian [1 ]
机构
[1] Santa Fe Inst, 1660 Old Pecos Trail, Santa Fe, NM 87501 USA
来源
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIFURCATION AND CHAOS | 1991年 / 1卷 / 03期
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
D O I
10.1142/S0218127491000427
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
The power spectrum of the daily Dow Jones industrial average is calculated. It has been shown that the spectrum is P(f) similar to 1/f(1.8), very close to that of the random walk series (1/f(2) noise). In contrast to some previous belief, the Dow Jones index as well as other stock prices time series are not 1/f noise. The distribution of the daily change of the Dow Jones industrial average is also calculated. Several fittings of the distribution are carried out (for both the price change and the logarithm of the price change). It has been observed that the occurrence of the big loss on Black Monday (negative change of 508) does not fit the distribution of the smaller price fluctuations (e.g., smaller than 100). This lack of scaling for the frequency of occurrence from the large stock price losses to small price fluctuations can be compared with the much better scaling law in the frequency of occurrence for global earthquakes.
引用
收藏
页码:583 / 597
页数:15
相关论文
共 68 条
[1]  
Aitchison J., 1963, LOGNORMAL DISTRIBUTI
[2]  
[Anonymous], [No title captured]
[3]  
[Anonymous], 1958, ELEMENTARY SEISMOLOG, DOI DOI 10.1111/J.2153-3490.1959.TB00030.X
[4]   SPECTRUM ANALYSIS OF EXTREMELY LOW FREQUENCY VARIATIONS OF QUARTZ OSCILLATORS [J].
ATTKINSON, WR ;
FEY, L ;
NEWMAN, J .
PROCEEDINGS OF THE IEEE, 1963, 51 (02) :379-+
[5]  
Bachelier L., 1900, THEORIE SPECULATION
[6]  
Bachelier L., 1964, RANDOM CHARACTER STO
[7]   SELF-ORGANIZED CRITICALITY [J].
BAK, P ;
TANG, C ;
WIESENFELD, K .
PHYSICAL REVIEW A, 1988, 38 (01) :364-374
[8]   SELF-ORGANIZED CRITICALITY [J].
BAK, P ;
CHEN, K .
SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN, 1991, 264 (01) :46-53
[9]   SELF-ORGANIZED CRITICALITY - AN EXPLANATION OF 1/F NOISE [J].
BAK, P ;
TANG, C ;
WIESENFELD, K .
PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS, 1987, 59 (04) :381-384
[10]   EARTHQUAKE RECURRENCE OF A PARTICULAR TYPE [J].
BATH, M .
PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS, 1981, 119 (05) :1063-1076