LONG-RANGE FORECASTING FOR TELECOMMUNICATIONS - ROLE OF SYSTEMS-ANALYSIS

被引：1

作者：

BATES, T ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] NE THAMES REG HLTH AUTHOR,LONDON,ENGLAND

来源：

TELECOMMUNICATIONS POLICY | 1978年 / 2卷 / 01期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0308-5961(78)90063-0

中图分类号：

G2 [信息与知识传播];

学科分类号：

05 ; 0503 ;

摘要：

Three methods of long-range forecasting used in telecommunications demand research are examined. Successful application of each technique depends on the validity of a number of concepts. The author questions whether the concepts used in past research were valid. The technique which he has developed for explicitly modelling the 'structure' of systems is described, together with an outline of its use within the areas of technical innovation diffusion, and market place conditions for the acceptability of new services. © 1978.

引用

页码：33 / 38

页数：6