HYDROLOGICAL IDENTIFICATION OF DROUGHT

被引：34

作者：

BONACCI, O

机构：

[1] Civil Engineering Faculty, Split University, Split, 58000, Matice Hrvatske bb

来源：

HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES | 1993年 / 7卷 / 03期

关键词：

DROUGHT; TRUNCATION LEVELS; MARKOV PROCESS;

D O I：

10.1002/hyp.3360070303

中图分类号：

TV21 [水资源调查与水利规划];

学科分类号：

081501 ;

摘要：

The problem of drought identification is considered from a primarily hydrological viewpoint. The problems related to the definition, identification and prediction of drought have not yet been solved. Although rainfall data are analysed as the main indicator and characteristic of drought, other characteristics resulting from a rainfall deficit are also important. A time unit of one month was selected as the most suitable for analysis. Special attention was paid to the selection of truncation levels with respect to their influence on the results of drought identification. Three methods for drought identification were applied to a series of monthly rainfall data in Osijek from January 1882 to December 1990: (1) run analysis; (2) a discrete Markov process; and (3) the percentile method. Although the results of these three methods are encouraging, different methods yielded similar results. Some drawbacks of the application of distribution curves are discussed. Drought events should be identified using a number of different procedures.

引用

页码：249 / 262

页数：14

共 28 条

[1] Beran M.A., pp. 103-111, (1979)
[2] Beran M.A., pp. 229-241, (1979)
[3] Beran M.A., Rodier J.A., (1985)
[4] Bonacci O., Hidroloéki aspekt suée' (Hydrological aspect of drought), Gradevinar, 29, pp. 333-340, (1977)
[5] Bonacci O., Stambuk N., Analiza primjene klime na opservatoriju Split‐Marjan', (Climate changes at Split‐Marjan), Voda I Sanitarna Tehnika, 21, 3, pp. 15-24, (1991)
[6] Chander S., Spolia S.K., Kumar A., pp. 305-318, (1979)
[7] Chang T.J., Stenson J.R., Is it realistic to define a 100‐year drought for water management?, Wat. Resour. Bull., 26, pp. 823-829, (1990)
[8] Dracup J.A., Kendall D.R., pp. 351-370, (1988)
[9] Dracup J.A., Lee K.S., Paulson E.G., On the statistical characteristics of drought events, Wat. Resour. Res., 16, pp. 289-296, (1980)
[10] Dracup J.A., Lee K.S., Paulson E.G., On the definition of drought, Wat. Res., 16, pp. 297-302, (1980)

← 1 2 3 →