MODELING THE ANALYSIS OF BREAST-CANCER SCREENING PROGRAMS - SENSITIVITY, LEAD TIME AND PREDICTIVE VALUE IN THE FLORENCE DISTRICT PROGRAM (1975-1986)

被引：70

作者：

PACI, E

DUFFY, SW

机构：

[1] Center for the Study and Prevention of Cancer Epidemiology Unit, 50125 Florence, V. le Volta

[2] MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge

来源：

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY | 1991年 / 20卷 / 04期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1093/ije/20.4.852

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

Statistical indicators of early efficacy were estimated in the Florence District Programme where breast cancer screening has been carried out since 1970. Analysis of screen-detected and interval cancer data by means of statistical modelling using GLIM allowed us to estimate the mean sojourn time (1.91 and 3.97 years in 40-49 and 50-69 year old women respectively), sensitivity (about 90% for those aged 50-69) and predictive value at the prevalence screening test (about 100%). Results were compared with estimates of the same parameters in the Health Insurance Plan and Swedish Two County studies.

引用

页码：852 / 858

页数：7

共 14 条

[1]

BAKER RJ, 1978, GLIM SYSTEM

[2]

Breslow NE, 1987, STAT METHODS CANC RE, V1

[3] COHORT STUDY ANALYSIS WITH A FORTRAN COMPUTER-PROGRAM [J].