THE WHAT, WHY AND HOW OF BAYESIAN CLINICAL-TRIALS MONITORING

被引:58
作者
FREEDMAN, LS
SPIEGELHALTER, DJ
PARMAR, MKB
机构
[1] ADDENBROOKES HOSP,MRC,INST PUBL HLTH,BIOSTAT UNIT,CAMBRIDGE CB2,ENGLAND
[2] MCR,CANC TRIALS OFF,CAMBRIDGE CB2 2BB,ENGLAND
关键词
D O I
10.1002/sim.4780131312
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We discuss the advantages and limitations of group sequential methods for monitoring clinical trials data. We describe a Bayesian approach, based upon the use of sceptical prior distributions, that avoids some of the limitations of group sequential methods. We illustrate its use with data from a trial of levamisole plus 5-Fluorouracil for colorectal cancer.
引用
收藏
页码:1371 / 1383
页数:13
相关论文
共 16 条
[1]  
Armitage P., 1989, J ROYAL STATISTICAL, V51, P334
[2]  
FLEMING TR, 1989, J NATL CANCER I, V81, P18
[3]   STOPPING RULES FOR CLINICAL-TRIALS INCORPORATING CLINICAL OPINION [J].
FREEDMAN, LS ;
LOWE, D ;
MACASKILL, P .
BIOMETRICS, 1984, 40 (03) :575-586
[4]   COMPARISON OF BAYESIAN WITH GROUP SEQUENTIAL-METHODS FOR MONITORING CLINICAL-TRIALS [J].
FREEDMAN, LS ;
SPIEGELHALTER, DJ .
CONTROLLED CLINICAL TRIALS, 1989, 10 (04) :357-367
[5]   INTERIM ANALYSES IN RANDOMIZED CLINICAL-TRIALS - RAMIFICATIONS AND GUIDELINES FOR PRACTITIONERS [J].
GELLER, NL ;
POCOCK, SJ .
BIOMETRICS, 1987, 43 (01) :213-223
[6]  
Gordon Lan KK., 1982, SEQUENTIAL ANAL, V1, P207, DOI [DOI 10.1080/07474948208836014, 10.1080/07474948208836014]
[7]  
GROSSMAN J, IN PRESS STATISTICS
[8]  
JENNISON C, 1989, J R STAT SOC B, V51, P305
[9]   DISCRETE SEQUENTIAL BOUNDARIES FOR CLINICAL-TRIALS [J].
LAN, KKG ;
DEMETS, DL .
BIOMETRIKA, 1983, 70 (03) :659-663
[10]   SURGICAL ADJUVANT THERAPY OF LARGE-BOWEL CARCINOMA - AN EVALUATION OF LEVAMISOLE AND THE COMBINATION OF LEVAMISOLE AND FLUOROURACIL [J].
LAURIE, JA ;
MOERTEL, CG ;
FLEMING, TR ;
WIEAND, HS ;
LEIGH, JE ;
RUBIN, J ;
MCCORMACK, GW ;
GERSTNER, JB ;
KROOK, JE ;
MALLIARD, J ;
TWITO, DI ;
MORTON, RF ;
TSCHETTER, LK ;
BARLOW, JF .
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL ONCOLOGY, 1989, 7 (10) :1447-1456