IMPACT OF HETEROGENEITY IN INDIVIDUAL FRAILTY ON THE DYNAMICS OF MORTALITY

被引:1570
作者
VAUPEL, JW [1 ]
MANTON, KG [1 ]
STALLARD, E [1 ]
机构
[1] DUKE UNIV,CTR DEMOGR STUDIES,DURHAM,NC 27706
关键词
D O I
10.2307/2061224
中图分类号
C921 [人口统计学];
学科分类号
摘要
Life table methods are developed for populations whose members differ in their endowment for longevity. Unlike standard methods, which ignore such heterogeneity, these methods use different calculations to construct cohort, period, and individual life tables. The results imply that standard methods overestimate current life expectancy and potential gains in life expectancy from health and safety interventions, while underestimating rates of individual aging, past progress in reducing mortality, and mortality differentials between pairs of populations. Calculations based on Swedish mortality data suggest that these errors may be important, especially in old age. © 1979 Population Association of America.
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收藏
页码:439 / 454
页数:16
相关论文
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VAUPEL JW, 1976, LAW CONT PROBLEMS, V4, P73
[12]   RANDOM-WALK MODEL OF HUMAN MORTALITY AND AGING [J].
WOODBURY, MA ;
MANTON, KG .
THEORETICAL POPULATION BIOLOGY, 1977, 11 (01) :37-48