QUANTIFYING REACTOR SAFETY MARGINS .4. UNCERTAINTY EVALUATION OF LBLOCA ANALYSIS BASED ON TRAC-PF1/MOD 1

The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has issued a revised Emergency Core Cooling System (ECCS) rule allowing the use of best estimate computer codes for safety analysis. The rule also requires an estimation of the uncertainty in the calculated system response and a comparison of the resulting bound with the acceptance limits of 10CFR Part 50. To support this revised rule the NRC and its consultants and contractors have developed and demonstrated the Code Scaling, Applicability and Uncertainty Methodology (CSAU). The last of the three elements of the methodology - Uncertainty Evaluation - is described in this paper. © 1990.