AN INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK TO ADDRESS CLIMATE-CHANGE (ESCAPE) AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS OF THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE MODULES (MAGICC)

ESCAPE (the Evaluation of Strategies to address Climate change by Adapting to and Preventing Emissions) is an integrated climate change assessment model constructed between 1990 and 1999 for DG XI of the Commission of the European Community by a consortium of research institutes headed by the Climatic Research Unit (CRU), It has been designed to enable the user to generate future scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions (through an energy-economic model), examine their impact on global climate and sea level (through two independent global climate models), and illustrate some of the consequences of this global climate change at a regional scale for the European Community (through a regional climate scenario generator and impact models), We provide a very brief overview of the ESCAPE model which, although innovative, suffers from a number of major limitations, Subsequent work in the CRU has concentrated on improvements to the global climate module and work has also commenced on an improved regional climate scenario generating module. These improvements will lead to a new integrated climate change assessment model, MAGICC (Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse gas Induced Climate Change) which can easily be incorporated into new larger integrated frameworks developed by other institutes.