The probability of error for lightwave systems affected by mode partition fluctuations is related to laser parameters, laser bias and modulation currents, transmission bit rate, and encoding format (NRZ, RZ). A simulation-based solution of stochastic rate equations governing the laser dynamics is used to determine a probabilistic description of mode partitioning. This description is applicable to formula-based methods of evaluting the probability of error. Utilizing a truncated-pulse-train Gauss-quadrature-rule method, many features unique to the problem of assessing the performance implications of mode partitioning are accommodated. Extensive numerical results quantify, for several systems, the required threshold gain difference between the lasing mode and the dominant side mode. For example, for 2.4-Gb/s NRZ modulation, the threshold gain difference requirement increases from 3 cm-1 to 7 cm-1 as the bias current of the laser decreases from 1.1 to 0.9 times the threshold current. © 1990 IEEE