SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL VARIATION IN THE PREVALENCE OF GROWTH DECLINE IN RED SPRUCE POPULATIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED-STATES

An analysis of the prevalence of individual-tree growth decline, based on reconstructed annual stemwood volume increment (AVI), was implemented on three data bases that have been used in past dendrochronological analyses of red spruce (Picea rubens Sarg.) decline in the northeastern United States. This analysis focused on the proportion of individual trees that exhibited a decrease in periodic mean AVI, a decrease in the linear trend of AVI, and (or) a negative AVI trend during the most recent 20-year period. Various subpopulations within the data bases were identified by site location, elevation, and aspect, and tree size, age, and competitive status, and the proportion of individual trees exhibiting growth decline was compared among these subpopulations. Also, the prevalence of growth decline after 1960 was compared with historical levels of growth decline. Differences in prevalence of growth decline were found among the three data bases and among locations within data bases. The proportion of red spruce that exhibited growth decline after 1960 exceeded historical levels of decline for populations in New York, Vermont, and New Hampshire, but not in the northern Maine population. Weak positive associations were found between prevalence of growth decline and tree size (DBH) and elevation. No consistent relationship was found between growth decline and tree age, competitive status, or stand density. Contrary to a previous report, growth decline was not more common among trees that exhibited evidence of competitive release in the 1940s than among unreleased trees.