CLIMATIC-CHANGE DUE TO SOLAR IRRADIANCE CHANGES

被引：61

作者：

WIGLEY, TML

RAPER, SCB

机构：

[1] Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 1990年 / 17卷 / 12期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1029/GL017i012p02169

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

Solar irradiance reconstructions back to 1874 are used to estimate the effect of the Sun on global‐mean temperature. The importance of the history effect, whereby recent temperature changes may be influenced significantly by past forcing changes, is evaluated. Modelled temperature changes are shown to be relatively insensitive to model uncertainties. The overall range of modelled temperature variations is extremely small, 0.05°C. Copyright 1990 by the American Geophysical Union.

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页码：2169 / 2172

页数：4

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