垂直专业化、技术变动与经济波动

被引：5

作者：

彭支伟

佟家栋

刘竹青

机构：

[1] 南开大学国际经济贸易系

来源：

世界经济 | 2012年 / 35卷 / 07期

关键词：

比较优势; 汇率制度; 贸易成本; 垂直专业化; 经济波动;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

F224 [经济数学方法]; F113 [世界经济问题];

学科分类号：

0701 ; 070104 ;

摘要：

本文在新开放经济宏观经济学框架下,研究垂直专业化的决定因素及经济波动效应。结论表明,垂直专业化的均衡程度与一国制成品部门的相对技术效率以及汇率管制程度正相关,而与该国中间品部门的相对技术效率负相关。当技术冲击来自制成品时,贸易成本和汇率管制会抑制本国经济的波动幅度;当技术冲击来自中间品部门时,二者不再单一地压制本国经济波动幅度。协动分析表明,汇率管制压低了比较优势冲击下垂直专业化与GDP等变量的协动程度,贸易成本则影响垂直专业化与GDP等变量的协动方向。在较高的贸易开放度和浮动汇率制度下,技术变动可能导致GDP和福利的反向变动。

引用

页码：3 / 21

页数：19

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