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"Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises: The Role of Early Warning Systems". Andrew Berg,Eduardo Borensztein,Gian Maria Milsi,and Catherine Pattillo. IMF Occasional Paper NO 186 . 1999
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Assessing Early Warning Systems: How Have They Worked in Practice. Berg, Andrew,Eduardo Borensztein,Catherine Pattillo. IMF Working PaperWP/04/52 . 2004
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