TIME SERIES MODEL OF LONG-RANGE PREDICTION AND ITS APPLICATION

被引：2

作者：

曹鸿兴

魏凤英

王永中

机构：

[1] Academy of Meteorological Science State Metcorological Administration

[2] Beijing

[3] Academy of Meteorological Science

[4] State Metcorological Administration

[5] Beijing Meteorological Institute

来源：

ActaMeteorologicaSinica | 1990年 / 01期

关键词：

TIME SERIES MODEL OF LONG-RANGE PREDICTION AND ITS APPLICATION; MGF;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

<正> By generalizing the concept of mean in mathematical statistics to a mean generation function(MGF),the extended matrix of MGF is defined and then a new model of time series is presented.A calculatingsehemefor modelling of monovariate time series is deduced cooperating with a normalization procedure of vectorand a couple score criterion.An example of climatic prediction for ten-year scale is given in this paper,thetendency of variation for every year can be predicted skillfully with the model.

引用

页码：120 / 127

页数：8