创业与失业:难民效应与企业家效应的实证检验

被引：33

作者：

董志强 ^{[1
]}

魏下海 ^{[2
]}

张天华 ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] 华南师范大学华南市场经济研究中心

[2] 华南师范大学经济与管理学院

[3] 厦门大学经济学院

来源：

经济评论 | 2012年 / 02期

关键词：

自雇创业; 失业; 难民效应; 企业家效应;

D O I：

10.19361/j.er.2012.02.009

中图分类号：

F224 [经济数学方法]; F279.27 [地方企业经济]; F249.21 [劳动力];

学科分类号：

0701 ; 070104 ; 1202 ; 120202 ; 020207 ; 020106 ;

摘要：

本文利用广东省21个地区1991-2007年面板数据,对自雇创业率与失业率的关系进行实证检验。结果表明,失业率变化对自雇创业率变化影响不显著,而自雇创业率变化对随后的失业率变化有显著的负向影响。这一结果支持了创业可降低失业的企业家效应假说,并不支持高失业率会影响自雇创业率的难民效应假说。上述发现从经验证据上支持了我国当前实施的"以创业带动就业"的扩大就业发展战略的合理性,并蕴含着一定的政策含义。

引用

页码：80 / 87+96 +96

页数：9

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