随机模型在非典型肺炎预测及疫情分析中的应用

被引：11

作者：

陈奇志 ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] 北京大学光华管理学院商务统计与经济计量系北京100871

来源：

关键词：

SARS; 随机房室模型; 参数估计;

D O I：

10.19723/j.issn.1671-167x.2003.s1.030

中图分类号：

R511.9 [];

学科分类号：

100401 ;

摘要：

将随机房室模型应用于非典型肺炎的研究中 ,对模型中的参数用两种方法进行估计 ,进而可得到新增确诊人数的预测。本文还对北京和香港两地参数变化进行了对比分析 ,为了解疫情的变化、评价干预措施的效果提供了有价值的参考

引用

页码：75 / 80

页数：6

共 12 条

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