股票市场风险的多重分形分析

被引:25
作者
施锡铨
艾克凤
机构
[1] 上海财经大学金融学院,海理工大学理学院
关键词
随机游动; 多重分形; 广义Hurst指数;
D O I
10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2004.09.007
中图分类号
F832.5 [金融市场];
学科分类号
1201 ; 020204 ;
摘要
Financial risk is ascribed to stochastic walk of returns. We find that the returns of stock markets don't follow stochastic walk, so it is imperfect to measure the risk with variance.The paper analyzes the return series of China stock markets and America stock markets with MF-DFA method. We deduce a conclusion that both of the two markets have character of multifractal. The multifractal character of China stock markets is more salient than the latter. A quantitative measurement of risk is concluded when we combine the multifractal character with factual risk.
引用
收藏
页码:33 / 36
页数:4
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