中国干旱区农户气候变化感知及适应性行为研究

被引：26

作者：

谭灵芝 ^{[1
]}

马长发 ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] 重庆工商大学长江上游经济研究中心

[2] 新疆财经大学统计与信息学院

来源：

水土保持通报 | 2014年 / 34卷 / 01期

关键词：

气候变化; 感知; 适应性行为; 农户; 干旱区;

D O I：

10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.01.011

中图分类号：

S162 [农业气候];

学科分类号：

0903 ;

摘要：

从农户气候变化感知视角探讨气候变化适应性行为有效性或者缺失,可以更好地为制定区域性应对气候变化适应性政策提供科学方法和决策依据。利用新疆于田县600户农户调研数据,通过构建Heckman选择模型,定量分析干旱区农户对气候变化的感知及适应性行为的选择偏好的影响因素。研究结果表明,户主性别、从事农业时长、家庭年均纯收入、社会网络、信息资源信任度、距离水源地远近、气候因素变量对气候变化感知有显著影响,而户主性别、从事农业时长、家庭年均纯收入、能否获得借贷、社会网络、距离水源地远近、气候因素变量对适应性行为有显著性影响。建议在政策制定和实施过程中,地方政府应发挥主导作用,同时制定各种相关政策培育农户应对气候变化的应对能力,最终实现生态、经济与社会的综合可持续发展。

引用

页码：220 / 225

页数：6

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