以豚草为例利用GIS和信息理论的方法预测外来入侵物种在中国的潜在分布

被引:11
作者
陈浩 [1 ]
陈利军 [2 ]
Thomas PAlbright [3 ]
机构
[1] 不详
[2] 武汉大学遥感信息工程学院
[3] 不详
[4] 国家基础地理信息中心,北京
[5] SAIC,USGS Center for EROS,Sioux Falls,SD ,USA Department of Zoology,University of Wisconsin-Madison,WI,USA
[6] 不详
关键词
外来入侵物种; 潜在分布; Akaike信息标准(AIC); logistic回归; 频率统计; GIS;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
S451 [杂草];
学科分类号
摘要
外来物种入侵已经对世界各国的经济、公共健康、农业生产力和生态完整性造成了越来越大的威胁,描述和预测外来入侵物种的空间分布对物种入侵的防治和早期预警起着重要的作用.生物多样性数据的不对称性以及生物建模过程中模型选择的不确定性给入侵物种空间建模带来了困难和局限.本研究利用统计学和信息理论的方法,从地学空间制图和生物建模的角度研究了外来入侵物种(以豚草Ambrosia Artemisiifolia L.为例)的潜在分布以及环境影响因子,提出了一种改进的logistic回归模型.logistic回归模型的选择基于Akaike信息标准(AIC),针对物种数据的不对称性,本研究提出了一种新的频率统计的方法去划分物种源生地的适应性生存环境.最后,我们把在源生地建立的模型和分类标准投影到入侵地绘制了该物种在入侵地的相对适应性分布图.
引用
收藏
页码:555 / 561
页数:7
相关论文
共 18 条
  • [1] Ragweed Immunotherapy in adult asthma. Creticos P S,Reed C E,Norman P S et al. The Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology . 1996
  • [2] Invasion dynamics and potential spread of the invasive alien plant species Ageratina adenophora(Asteraceae)in China. Wang R,Wang Y. Diversity Distrib . 2006
  • [3] Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Guisan A,Zimmermann N E. Ecological Modelling . 2000
  • [4] Version2.0.1. A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. . 2004
  • [5] On information and sufficiency. Kullback S,Leibler R A. Annals of Mathematical Statistics . 1951
  • [6] Predicting species oc-currence using information-theoretic approaches and significance testing:An example of dormouse distribution in Cumbria,UK. Greaves R K,Sanderson R A,Rushton S P. Biological Conservation . 2006
  • [7] Kullback–Leibler information as a basis for strong inference in ecological studies. Burnham K P,Anderson D R. Wildlife Research . 2001
  • [8] Kullback–Leibler infor-mation in resolving natural resource conflicts when definitive data exist. Anderson D R,Burnham K P,White G C. Wildlife Society Bulletin . 2001
  • [9] Model selection in ecology and Evolu-tion. Johnson J B,Omland K S. Trends in Ecology and Evolution . 2004
  • [10] Predicting reptile distributions at the mesoscale:Relation to climate and topography. Guisan A,Hofer U. Journal of Biogeography . 2003