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COMPARATIVE EXPERIMENTS OF DYNAMICAL FORECAST AND STATISTICAL FORECAST
被引：1
作者：
张洪政
林振山
机构：
[1] Department of Atmospheric Sciences Nanjing University
[2] Nanjing
[3] Department of Atmospheric Sciences
[4] Nanjing University
关键词：
dynamical forecast;
statistical forecast;
comparison;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
P456 [预报方法];
学科分类号：
0706 ;
070601 ;
摘要：
<正> After analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of dynamical system and statistical system.some simple models with the equations of Lorenz system and auto-regresslon model have beenrespectively set up,and comparative experiments conducted.The result of the research demonstratesthat in chaotic parametric domain,the accuracy of statistical forecast is higher than that of dynamicalforecast,while in non-chaotic parametric domain,dynamical forecast is more accurate than statisticalforecast.
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页码：218 / 224
页数：7
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