居民储蓄的长期均衡和短期波动——中国:1991—2000年的实证分析

This paper empirically analyzes the residents’ deposit during the 1991\2000 sample periodin China by the latest time series approach.The Cointegration test studies a possible long\|term equilibrium relationship between the residents’ deposit and the determinants such as income,price,interest rate and capital market.The Beta coefficient and elasticity coefficient are also studied.The short\|term influences of those determinants are studied by the Error Correction Model,which can describe the mechanism of the adjustment toward long\|term equilibrium.This paper shows that the residents’ deposit in China has some new features during this period.