REDD+机制对亚洲国家毁林环境库兹涅兹曲线的影响研究

被引：2

作者：

盛济川 ^{[1
]}

苗壮 ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] 南京信息工程大学

[2] 不详

来源：

阅江学刊 | 2015年 / 7卷 / 01期

关键词：

REDD+机制; 毁林EKC曲线; 气候变化; 拐点要求的收入水平; 森林转变周期; 减排成本;

D O I：

10.13878/j.cnki.yjxk.2015.01.006

中图分类号：

S718.5 [森林生态学];

学科分类号：

摘要：

在毁林环境库兹涅兹曲线(简称毁林EKC曲线)框架下,研究减少砍伐和森林退化造成的排放(REDD+)机制对森林覆盖率变化发展路径的影响。对1990—2010年东亚、东南亚、南亚、西亚和中亚45个国家的毁林EKC曲线和拐点进行实证分析,发现东亚和中亚具有倒U型的毁林EKC曲线,东南亚、南亚和西亚具有U型的毁林EKC曲线。在REDD+机制下,采用资金补偿和激励的方式可以改变毁林EKC曲线的形状,从而在低于拐点要求的收入水平下促使毁林率发生转变,缩短森林转变周期。毁林EKC曲线以及拐点的测算对亚洲各区域REDD+机制的政策制定具有参考意义。中国应积极参与REDD+机制的政策制定和实施,降低减排成本,获取最大收益。

引用

页码：42 / 49

页数：8

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