REDD+对中国减缓气候变化的影响分析

被引：2

作者：

盛济川

曹杰

机构：

[1] 南京信息工程大学中国制造业发展研究院

来源：

中国科技论坛 | 2012年 / 11期

关键词：

气候变化; REDD+; 情景; WITCH模型; SWOT分析;

D O I：

10.13580/j.cnki.fstc.2012.11.024

中图分类号：

X321 [区域环境规划与管理];

学科分类号：

083305 ; 1204 ;

摘要：

将REDD+引入到减缓气候变化的政策分析中,使用世界技术变化混合模型(WITCH)探讨在不同排放情景下,REDD+对于世界和中国减排成本以及CO2排放量的影响。通过SWOT分析,识别出中国实施REDD+的优势和劣势以及面临的机遇与挑战,并讨论中国应对REDD+的气候变化政策选择。研究表明,REDD+会促使中国可以更多地进口碳排放许可证替代国内工业减排,从而有效降低中国的减排成本。中国实施REDD+的优势大于劣势,机遇多于挑战,因此中国应积极参与到REDD+的制定和谈判中,提前布局以从中获取最大收益。

引用

页码：141 / 148

页数：8

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