一类技术创新扩散模型的稳定性及其应用

被引：9

作者：

廖志高

徐玖平

机构：

[1] 四川大学工商管理学院

来源：

系统工程理论与实践 | 2007年 / 08期

基金：

国家杰出青年科学基金;

关键词：

技术创新; 技术扩散; 扩散模型;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

F224 [经济数学方法];

学科分类号：

0701 ; 070104 ;

摘要：

简要回顾了创新技术扩散研究的发展过程,提出了一种基于两种不同群体之间成员流动的创新技术扩散动力学速度模型,并对该动力学模型进行了稳定分析,发现两群体之间不管存不存在人员流动,单向或双向流动,两群体成员数最终会趋向稳定.同时,该技术创新市场扩散也会达到一终值.并利用中国城镇和农村的固定电话用户数的数据进行了实证分析,取得了较为满意的结果.

引用

页码：65 / 74

页数：10

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