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Modelling scenarios of land use change in northern China in the next 50 years[J]. HE Chunyang,LI Jinggang,SHI Peijun,CHEN Jin,PAN Yaozhong,LI Xiaobing(Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster,Ministry of Education of China,Beijing Normal University;College of Resources Science and Technology,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China).Journal of Geographical Sciences. 2005(02)