金融发展的倒U型增长效应与最优金融规模

被引:30
作者
苏基溶
廖进中
机构
[1] 湖南大学经济与贸易学院
关键词
金融发展; 非线性增长; 最优金融规模; 系统的广义矩估计;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F830 [金融、银行理论]; F224 [经济数学方法];
学科分类号
1201 ; 020204 ; 0701 ; 070104 ;
摘要
金融发展能够促进经济增长,但是其作用是非线性的。由于金融发展是有成本的,当金融过度发展时,其机会成本将大于潜在的收益,反而会阻碍经济增长。因此,经济中存在最优的金融发展规模。本文用金融部门就业占总就业的比重作为度量金融发展的指标,为避免内生性偏误,实证研究采用系统的GMM进行估计。结果表明:金融发展对经济增长的影响不是线性的,而是一个倒U型。潜在的最优金融规模主要由经济发展水平和人力资本存量决定。
引用
收藏
页码:45 / 54+126 +126
页数:11
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