水力不确定性及其在防洪泄洪系统风险分析中的影响

被引：17

作者：

金明

机构：

[1] 河海大学环境工程系

来源：

关键词：

防洪堤; 溢洪道; 风险分析;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

TV651.1 [溢洪道]; TV871 [堤防];

学科分类号：

摘要：

本文系统地研究了水力不确定性在风险分析中的作用.结果表明,水文风险仍然是防洪泄洪系统全面风险的主要控制因素,但仅仅考虑水文风险,会低估防洪泄洪系统的全面风险;水力不确定模型的影响主要取决于其变差系数;一般情况下,全概率法是风险计算的一种可靠而简单的方法.

引用

页码：40 / 45

页数：6

共 8 条

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