三种临床评分标准对急性胰腺炎预后的评估价值比较

被引:20
作者
邹晓平
顾超
刘明东
李运红
钱铖
机构
[1] 南京大学医学院附属鼓楼医院消化科
关键词
胰腺炎; 诊断,计算机辅助; 预后;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
R686 [筋腱、韧带、滑囊疾病及损伤];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100210 ;
摘要
目的研究APACHEⅡ、Ranson、Balthazar CT严重指数(CT severity index,CTSI)三种临床评分标准对轻症及重症急性胰腺炎(AP)的评估价值。方法回顾性研究AP患者355例。分析各临床评分标准与禁食天数、住院天数的相关性。用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)分析各临床评分标准判断重症AP的敏感性和特异性,分析各临床评分标准对局部和全身并发症的预见能力。结果355例患者中,诊断轻症273例,重症82例。轻症和重症AP患者三种临床评分分值差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。三种临床评分分值与AP患者禁食天数、住院时间均显著相关。CTSI标准的敏感性最高为77%,曲线下面积(AUC)最大为0.85。CTSI对局部并发症预见能力最高,Ranson标准对全身并发症的预见能力最高。结论CTSI标准是临床判断重症AP最有效的指标,将三种临床评分标准结合起来能更准确地评估急性胰腺炎的预后。
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