一种分布式光伏发电出力的PH分布模型

被引：3

作者：

于欣波

罗奕

机构：

[1] 桂林电子科技大学机电工程学院

来源：

可再生能源 | 2015年 / 33卷 / 11期

关键词：

分布式发电; 光伏发电; 间歇性电源; PH分布;

D O I：

10.13941/j.cnki.21-1469/tk.2015.11.005

中图分类号：

TM615 [太阳能发电];

学科分类号：

0807 ;

摘要：

文章根据概率理论提出了一种具有解析形式的光伏发电出力模型,该模型将出力用分段马尔可夫过程进行近似,依据PH分布理论,利用一次能源典型统计样本求解PV出力在每个瞬态(位相)上的无穷小生成元,建立基于PH分布的PV出力概率分布模型,经过试算发现通过适当的位相划分可优化建模效果。文章方法与蒙特卡罗模拟法相比,具有解析法的优点,算例证明了建模思想及方法的可行性。

引用

页码：1619 / 1624

页数：6

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