美军重大国防采办项目技术成熟评价的价值分析研究

被引:2
作者
程文渊
许佳
龚旭东
张慧
机构
[1] 中国航空工业发展研究中心
关键词
技术成熟度评价; 价值分析; 投资回报率;
D O I
10.19571/j.cnki.1000-2995.2017.s1.011
中图分类号
E712 [];
学科分类号
11 ;
摘要
技术成熟度评价(TRA)方法被美军广泛应用于重大国防采办项目(MDAPs)管理,然而由于实施成本昂贵和效果欠佳等原因,近年来各方开始反思TRA的价值和效果。本文从经济学的视角,综合利用收益比、投资回报率、净现值法、实物期权法等数学方法,构建了可量化评估MDAPs实施TRA的价值分析模型,并以2003-2016年美军MDAPs为对象进行实例分析后认为,技术成熟度直接影响MDAPs的绩效产出,在MDAPs中实施TRA具有较高的投资回报率和显著的经济效益。
引用
收藏
页码:71 / 77
页数:7
相关论文
共 17 条
[1]  
ROI of technology readiness using real options: A spreadsheet analysis of GAO data from 62 U.S. DoD programs. Rico,D. F. http://davidfrico.com/rico07n.xls . 2007
[2]  
A framework for evaluating ROI of TRA of major defense acquisition programs. Bailey,R.U,Mazzuchi,T.A,Sarkani,S.et al. . 2014
[3]  
Defense acquisition assessment of selected weapon system. United States Government Accountability Office. GAO-16-329SP . 2016
[4]  
Defense acquisition assessment of selected weapon system. United States Government Accountability Office. GAO-15-342SP . 2015
[5]  
Defense acquisition assessment of selected weapon system. United States Government Accountability Office. GAO-14-340SP . 2014
[6]  
Defense acquisition assessment of selected weapon system. United States Government Accountability Office. GAO-12-400SP . 2012
[7]  
Technology readiness assessment (TRA)deskbook. U.S.Department of Defense. . 2005
[8]  
Defense acquisition assessment of selected weapon system. United States Government Accountability Office. GAO-03-476 . 2003
[9]  
Defense acquisition assessment of selected weapon system. United States Government Accountability Office. GAO-04-248 . 2004
[10]  
Defense acquisition assessment of selected weapon system. United States Government Accountability Office. GAO-05-301 . 2005