Differential AR algorithm for packet delay prediction

<正>Different delay prediction algorithms have been applied in multimedia communication, among which linear prediction is attractive because of its low complexity. AR (auto regressive) algorithm is a traditional one with low computation cost, while NLMS (normalize least mean square) algorithm is more precise. In this paper, referring to ARIMA (auto regression integrated with moving averages) model, a differential AR algorithm (DIAR) is proposed based on the analyses of both AR and NLMS algorithms. The prediction precision of the new algorithm is about 5-10 db higher than that of the AR algorithm without increasing the computation complexity. Compared with NLMS algorithm, its precision slightly improves by 0.1 db on average, but the algorithm complexity reduces more than 90% . Our simulation and tests also demonstrate that this method improves the performance of the average end-to-end delay and packet loss ratio significantly.