Drop-the-losers design: Normal case

被引:64
作者
Sampson, AR
Sill, MW
机构
[1] Univ Pittsburgh, Dept Stat, Pittsburgh, PA 15260 USA
[2] Roswell Pk Canc Inst, GOG Stat & Data Ctr, Buffalo, NY 14263 USA
关键词
phase II clinical trial; phase III clinical trial; inference after selection; ranking and selection; strong control of error; conditional tests; confidence intervals; drop-the-losers design;
D O I
10.1002/bimj.200410119
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Drop-the-losers designs are statistical designs which have two stages of a trial separated by a data based decision. In the first stage k experimental treatments and a control are administered. During a transition period, the empirically best experimental treatment is selected for continuation into the second phase, along with the control. At the study's end, inference focuses on the comparison of the selected treatment with the control using both stages' data. Traditional methods used to make inferences based on both stages' data can yield tests with higher than advertised levels of significance and confidence intervals with lower than advertised confidence. For normally distributed data, methods are provided to correct these deficiencies, providing confidence intervals with accurate levels of confidence. Drop-the-losers designs are particularly applicable to biopharmaceutical clinical trials where they can allow Phase II and Phase III clinical trials to be conducted under a single protocol with the use of all available data.
引用
收藏
页码:257 / 268
页数:12
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