A network with tunable clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution, and an epidemic thereon

被引:31
作者
Ball, Frank [1 ]
Britton, Tom [2 ]
Sirl, David [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Nottingham, Sch Math Sci, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England
[2] Stockholm Univ, Dept Math, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden
[3] Univ Loughborough, Math Educ Ctr, Loughborough LE11 3TU, Leics, England
基金
英国工程与自然科学研究理事会; 瑞典研究理事会;
关键词
Branching process; Configuration model; Epidemic size; Random graph; SIR epidemic; Threshold behaviour; THRESHOLD BEHAVIOR; SIR EPIDEMICS; RANDOM GRAPHS; POPULATION; MODEL;
D O I
10.1007/s00285-012-0609-7
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
A random network model which allows for tunable, quite general forms of clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution is defined. The model is an extension of the configuration model, in which stubs (half-edges) are paired to form a network. Clustering is obtained by forming small completely connected subgroups, and positive (negative) degree correlation is obtained by connecting a fraction of the stubs with stubs of similar (dissimilar) degree. An SIR (Susceptible Infective Recovered) epidemic model is defined on this network. Asymptotic properties of both the network and the epidemic, as the population size tends to infinity, are derived: the degree distribution, degree correlation and clustering coefficient, as well as a reproduction number , the probability of a major outbreak and the relative size of such an outbreak. The theory is illustrated by Monte Carlo simulations and numerical examples. The main findings are that (1) clustering tends to decrease the spread of disease, (2) the effect of degree correlation is appreciably greater when the disease is close to threshold than when it is well above threshold and (3) disease spread broadly increases with degree correlation when is just above its threshold value of one and decreases with when is well above one.
引用
收藏
页码:979 / 1019
页数:41
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