Climatologically aided mapping of daily precipitation and temperature

被引:95
作者
Hunter, RD
Meentemeyer, RK
机构
[1] Univ N Carolina, Dept Geog & Earth Sci, Charlotte, NC 28223 USA
[2] Sonoma State Univ, Dept Geog, Rohnert Pk, CA 94928 USA
来源
JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY | 2005年 / 44卷 / 10期
关键词
D O I
10.1175/JAM2295.1
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Accurately mapped meteorological data are an essential component for hydrologic and ecological research conducted at broad scales. A simple yet effective method for mapping daily weather conditions across heterogeneous landscapes is described and assessed. Daily weather data recorded at point locations are integrated with long-term-average climate maps to reconstruct spatially explicit estimates of daily precipitation and temperature extrema. The method uses ordinary kriging to interpolate base station data spatially into fields of approximately 2-km grain size. The fields are subsequently adjusted by 30-yr-average climate maps [Parameter-Elevation Regression on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM)], which incorporate adiabatic lapse rates, orographic effects, coastal proximity, and other environmental factors. The accuracy assessment evaluated an interpolation-only approach and the new method by comparing predicted and observed values from an independent validation dataset. The results of the accuracy assessment are compared for a 24-yr period for California. For all three weather variables, mean absolute errors (MAE) of the climate-imprint method were considerably smaller than those of the interpolation-only approach. MAE for predicted daily precipitation was +/- 2.5 mm, with a bias of e+0.01. MAE for predicted daily minimum and maximum temperatures were +/- 1.7 degrees and +/- 2.0 degrees C, respectively, with corresponding biases of -0.41 degrees and -0.38 degrees C. MAE differed seasonally for all three weather variables, but the method was stable despite variation in the number of base stations available for each day.
引用
收藏
页码:1501 / 1510
页数:10
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