Heterogeneous gain learning and the dynamics of asset prices

被引:33
作者
LeBaron, Blake [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Brandeis Univ, Int Business Sch, Waltham, MA 02453 USA
[2] Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
关键词
Learning; Asset pricing; Financial time series; Evolution; Memory; LIFETIME PORTFOLIO SELECTION; MARKET; MODELS; CONSUMPTION; SURVIVAL; AGENTS; RETURN; CHAOS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jebo.2012.03.003
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper presents a new agent-based financial market. It is designed to be both simple enough to gain insights into the nature and structure of what is going on at both the agent and macro levels, but remain rich enough to allow for many interesting evolutionary experiments. The model is driven by heterogeneous agents who put varying weights on past information as they design portfolio strategies. It faithfully generates many of the common stylized features of asset markets. It also yields some insights into the dynamics of agent strategies and how they lead to market instabilities. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:424 / 445
页数:22
相关论文
共 61 条
[1]  
Adam K., 2010, Internal Rationality, Imperfect Market Knowledge and Asset Prices
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1999, Sargent, P46
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2006, HDB EC FORECASTING
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2008, Stabilizing an Unstable Economy
[5]  
[Anonymous], MODERN MACROECONOMIC
[6]  
Ashraf Q, 2010, BANKS MARKET ORG MAC
[7]  
BLUME L, 1990, J ECON THEORY, V58, P9
[8]   If you're so smart, why aren't you rich? -: Belief selection in complete and incomplete markets [J].
Blume, Lawrence ;
Easley, David .
ECONOMETRICA, 2006, 74 (04) :929-966
[9]  
Bollerslev T., 1995, HDB ECONOMETRICS, V4, P2961
[10]   Learning about Risk and Return: A Simple Model of Bubbles and Crashes [J].
Branch, William A. ;
Evans, George W. .
AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-MACROECONOMICS, 2011, 3 (03) :159-191