Methods for combining the outputs of different rainfall-runoff models

被引:218
作者
Shamseldin, AY
OConnor, KM
Liang, GC
机构
[1] Department of Engineering Hydrology, University College Galway, Galway
关键词
D O I
10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03259-3
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
The present paper promotes the concept of combining the estimated output of different rainfall-runoff models to produce an overall combined estimated output to be used as an alternative to that obtained from a single individual rainfall-runoff model. Three methods of combining model outputs are considered, namely the simple average method (SAM), the weighted average method (WAM) and the neural network method (NNM). The estimated discharges of five rainfall-runoff models for 11 catchments are used to test the performance of these three combination methods. The results confirm that better discharge estimates can be obtained by combining the model outputs of different models. (C) 1997 Elsevier Science B.V.
引用
收藏
页码:203 / 229
页数:27
相关论文
共 49 条
[1]   AN INTRODUCTION TO THE EUROPEAN HYDROLOGICAL SYSTEM - SYSTEME HYDROLOGIQUE EUROPEEN, SHE .2. STRUCTURE OF A PHYSICALLY-BASED, DISTRIBUTED MODELING SYSTEM [J].
ABBOTT, MB ;
BATHURST, JC ;
CUNGE, JA ;
OCONNELL, PE ;
RASMUSSEN, J .
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 1986, 87 (1-2) :61-77
[2]   AN INTRODUCTION TO THE EUROPEAN HYDROLOGICAL SYSTEM - SYSTEME HYDROLOGIQUE EUROPEEN, SHE .1. HISTORY AND PHILOSOPHY OF A PHYSICALLY-BASED, DISTRIBUTED MODELING SYSTEM [J].
ABBOTT, MB ;
BATHURST, JC ;
CUNGE, JA ;
OCONNELL, PE ;
RASMUSSEN, J .
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 1986, 87 (1-2) :45-59
[3]   A SIMPLE NONLINEAR RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODEL WITH A VARIABLE GAIN FACTOR [J].
AHSAN, M ;
OCONNOR, KM .
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 1994, 155 (1-2) :151-183
[4]  
[Anonymous], 1975, 7 WMO
[5]  
[Anonymous], 1992, 38 WMO
[6]   COMBINING FORECASTS - THE END OF THE BEGINNING OR THE BEGINNING OF THE END [J].
ARMSTRONG, JS .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1989, 5 (04) :585-588
[7]   COMBINATION OF FORECASTS [J].
BATES, JM ;
GRANGER, CWJ .
OPERATIONAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY, 1969, 20 (04) :451-&
[8]  
BLUM A, 1992, NEURAL NETWORKS C PL
[9]  
BRUEN M, 1985, THESIS NATL U IRELAN
[10]  
Burnash R. J. C., 1973, GEN STREAMFLOW SIMUL