Description of models and scenarios used to assess European decarbonisation pathways

被引：88

作者：

Capros, Pantelis ^{[1
]}

Paroussos, Leonidas ^{[1
]}

Fragkos, Panagiotis ^{[1
]}

Tsani, Stella ^{[1
]}

Boitier, Baptiste ^{[2
,3
]}

Wagner, Fabian ^{[4
]}

Busch, Sebastian ^{[5
]}

Resch, Gustav ^{[5
]}

Blesl, Markus ^{[6
]}

Bollen, Johannes ^{[7
]}

机构：

[1] Natl Tech Univ Athens, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Zografou Campus,9 Iroon Politech St, GR-15773 Athens, Greece

[2] Univ Paris 1 Pantheon Sorbonne, Paris, France

[3] SEURECO, Paris, France

[4] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria

[5] Vienna Univ Technol, Energy Econ Grp, A-1040 Vienna, Austria

[6] Univ Stuttgart, Inst Energy Econ & Rat Use Energy IER, D-70565 Stuttgart, Germany

[7] CPB Netherlands Bur Econ Policy Anal CPB, The Hague, Netherlands

来源：

ENERGY STRATEGY REVIEWS | 2014年 / 2卷 / 3-4期

关键词：

PRIMES; GEM-E3; TIMES-PanEu; NEMESIS; WorldScan; Green-X; GAINS; COST;

D O I：

10.1016/j.esr.2013.12.008

中图分类号：

TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];

学科分类号：

0807 ; 0820 ;

摘要：

This study describes the models employed, the main scenario constraints and the energy and climate policy assumptions for a companion study on "European decarbonisation pathways under alternative technological and policy choices: A multi-model analysis". We describe the main characteristics, the coverage and applications of seven large-scale energy-economy EU models used in the aforementioned study (PRIMES, GEM-E3, TIMES-PanEu, NEMESIS, WorldScan, Green-X and GAINS). The alternative scenarios modelled and the underlying assumptions and constraints are also specified. The main European energy and climate policies assumed to be implemented in the Reference scenario are outlined. We explain the formula used for the decomposition of carbon emissions reduction achieved in the basic decarbonisation scenario relative to the reference. Detailed model results for the power generation mix and RES deployment in the basic decarbonisation scenario in the EU are also presented. We conclude the description of our modelling approach with a brief comparison of the strengths and weaknesses of the models used. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：220 / 230

页数：11

共 22 条

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