Will EU biofuel policies affect global agricultural markets?

被引：151

作者：

Banse, Martin ^{[1
]}

van Meijl, Hans ^{[1
]}

Tabeau, Andrzej ^{[1
]}

Woltjer, Geert ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Wageningen UR, LEI, NL-2502 LS The Hague, Netherlands

来源：

EUROPEAN REVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS | 2008年 / 35卷 / 02期

关键词：

biofuels; EU Biofuels Directive; agricultural markets; computable general equilibrium modelling; endogenous land supply;

D O I：

10.1093/erae/jbn023

中图分类号：

F3 [农业经济];

学科分类号：

0202 ; 020205 ; 1203 ;

摘要：

This article assesses the implications of the EU Biofuels Directive (BFD) using a computable general equilibrium framework with endogenous land supply. The results show that, without policy intervention to stimulate the use of biofuel crops, the targets of the BFD will not be met. With the BFD, the enhanced demand for biofuel crops has a strong impact on agriculture globally and within Europe, leading to an increase in land use. On the other hand, the long-term declining trend in real agricultural prices may slow down or even reverse.

引用

页码：117 / 141

页数：25