Interannual variability of lower-tropospheric moisture transport during the Australian monsoon

The interannual variability of the horizontal lower-tropospheric moisture transport associated With the Australian summer monsoon has been analysed for the 1958-99 period. The 41-season climatology of moisture flux integrated between the surface and 450 hPa showed moderate levels of Westerly transport in the month before Australian monsoon onset, associated with cross-equatorial flow in the Sulawesi Sea and west of Borneo. In the month after onset the westerly moisture transport strengthened dramatically in a zonal belt stretching from the Timor Sea to the Western Equatorial Pacific, constrained between the latitudes 5 and 15 degreesS, and associated with a poleward shift in the Intertropical Convergence Zone and deepening of the monsoon trough. Vertical cross-sections showed this transport extending front the surface to the 500 hPa level. In the second and third months after onset the horizontal flow pattern remained similar, although flux magnitudes progressively decreased, and the influence of trade winds became more pronounced over northern Australia. Nine El Nino and six La Nina seasons were identified from the data set, and composite plots of the affected years revealed distinct, and in some cases surprising, alterations to the large-scale moisture transport in the tropical Australian-Indonesian region. During an El Nino it was shown that the month prior to onset. in which the moisture flux was weaker than average yielded to a dramatically stronger than average flux during the following month. with a zone or westerly flux anomalies stretching across the north Australian coast and Arafura Sea. The period of enhanced moisture flux during an El Nino is relatively short-lived, with drier easterly anomalies asserting themselves during the following 2 months, suggesting a shorter than usual monsoon period in north Australia. In the La Nina composite, the initial month after onset shows a tendency to weaker horizontal moisture transport over the Northern Territory and Western Australia. The subsequent 2 months show positive anomalies in flux magnitude over these areas; the overall effect is to prolong the monsoon. Comparison of these results with past research has led us to suggest that the tendency for stronger (weaker) circulations to arise in the initial month of El Nino (La Nina) events is a result of mesoscale changes in soil moisture anomalies on land and offshore sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, brought about by the large-scale alterations to SST and circulation patterns during the El Nino-Southern Oscillation. The soil moisture and SST anomalies initially act to enhance (suppress) the conditions necessary for deep convection in the El Nino (La Nina) cases via changes in land-sea thermal contrast and cloud cover. Copyright (C) 2002 Royal Meteorological Society.