Forging a Sino-US "grand bargain" in space

Sino-US competition, and even conflict, in space seems increasingly likely in light of recent anti-satellite events. Advancing the cause of non-weaponization of space has long been limited by the scope of discussions. This article recommends to the incoming US administration a bargaining strategy that encompasses wider issues, increasing the possibility of circumventing this impasse and achieving improved security for US space systems by forestalling an anti-satellite arms race. Including commercial space and civil space issues in discussions with China on space security, in a type of "grand bargain" negotiation, may lead to agreement between the parties on a code of conduct in space. Simultaneously taking certain hedging positions against default may improve the US bargaining position and increase the likelihood of compliance. (c) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.