Aviation radiative forcing in 2000:: An update on IPCC (1999)

被引:224
作者
Sausen, R [1 ]
Isaksen, I
Grewe, V
Hauglustaine, D
Lee, DS
Myhre, G
Köhler, MO
Pitari, G
Schumann, U
Stordal, F
Zerefos, C
机构
[1] DLR, Inst Atmospher Phys, D-82234 Wessling, Germany
[2] Univ Oslo, Dept Geosci, Oslo, Norway
[3] CEA, CNRS, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91198 Gif Sur Yvette, France
[4] Manchester Metropolitan Univ, Dalton Res Inst, Manchester M15 6BH, Lancs, England
[5] Univ Cambridge, Dept Chem, Ctr Atmospher Sci, Cambridge CB2 1EW, England
[6] Univ Aquila, Dipartimento Fis, I-67100 Laquila, Italy
[7] Univ Athens, Lab Climatol & Atmospher Environm, Athens, Greece
[8] Univ Athens, FBR, Athens, Greece
关键词
D O I
10.1127/0941-2948/2005/0049
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
New estimates of the various contributions to the radiative forcing (RF) from aviation are presented, mainly based on results from the TRADEOFF project that update those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 1999). The new estimate of the total RIF from aviation for 2000 is approximately the same as that of the IPCC's estimate for 1992. This is mainly a consequence of the strongly reduced RF from contrails, which compensates the increase due to increased traffic from 1992 to 2000. The RF from other aviationinduced cirrus clouds might be as large as the present estimate of the total RIF (without cirrus). However, our present knowledge on these aircraft-induced cirrus clouds is too poor to provide a reliable estimate of the associated RF.
引用
收藏
页码:555 / 561
页数:7
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