A simple procedure for Bayesian estimation of the Weibull distribution

被引:73
作者
Kaminskiy, MP [1 ]
Krivtsov, VV
机构
[1] Univ Maryland, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
[2] Ford Motor Co, Dearborn, MI 48121 USA
关键词
Bayesian estimation; conjugate prior; Weibull distribution;
D O I
10.1109/TR.2005.858093
中图分类号
TP3 [计算技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 [计算机科学与技术];
摘要
Practical use of Bayesian estimation procedures is often associated with difficulties related to elicitation of prior information, and its formalization into the respective prior distribution. The two-parameter Weibull distribution is a particularly difficult case, because it requires a two-dimensional joint prior distribution of the Weibull parameters. The novelty of the procedure suggested here is that the prior information can be presented in the form of the interval assessment of the reliability function (as opposed to that on the Weibull parameters), which is generally easier to obtain. Based on this prior information, the procedure allows constructing the continuous joint prior distribution of Weibull parameters as well as the posterior estimates of the mean & standard deviation of the estimated reliability function (or the CDF) at any given value of the exposure variable. A numeric example is discussed as an illustration. We additionally elaborate on a new parametric form of the prior distribution for the scale parameter of the exponential distribution. This distribution is not a Gamma (as might intuitively be expected); its mode is available in a closed form, and the mean is obtainable through a series approximation.
引用
收藏
页码:612 / 616
页数:5
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